Global bullion market mein aaj achanak halchal dekhne ko mili hai. Spot gold ki keemat 0.4% girkar $2,642.10 per ounce par aa gayi, jisse investors ke beech thodi bechaini badh gayi. Is girawat ki sabse badi wajah US dollar ki majbooti aur America se aaye strong economic signals maane ja rahe hain.
Market ko ummeed thi ki inflation dheere-dheere thanda hone par Federal Reserve March 2026 ke aas-paas interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Lekin recent US economic data khaaskar retail sales aur labor market numbers ne is expectation par pura paani fer diya hai.
Dollar Strong Hua, Gold Par Pressure Aaya
Aaj US Dollar Index 103.85 ke level tak pahunch gaya tha, jo pichhle kuch sessions ka high mana ja raha hai. Dollar ke strong hote hi gold jaise non-yielding asset ki demand naturally kam ho jaati hai. Isi ka asar gold futures par bhi dikha, jahan prices lagbhag 0.5% niche aaye.
Silver bhi pressure mein raha aur 0.8% girkar $31.15 par aa gaya, jahan industrial demand ko lekar concerns bane hue hain.
January 16, 2026: Market Snapshot
- Spot Gold: $2,642.10 (-0.4%)
- US Gold Futures: $2,645.50 (-0.5%)
- US Dollar Index: 103.85 (+0.32%)
- Silver (Spot): $31.15 (-0.8%)
Retail Investors Aur ETFs Mein Selling Pressure
Social media platforms par retail investors ka mood kaafi mixed dikh raha hai. Pichhle 48 ghanton mein gold ETFs se noticeable outflows dekhe gaye hain, jo short-term nervousness ka signal dete hain.
India mein wedding season ko dhyan mein rakhte hue kai buyers is dip ka wait kar rahe hain. Wahin, long-term investors ka kehna hai ki agar gold $2,620 ke support level ke neeche fisalta hai, toh market mein panic selling dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Experts Kya Keh Rahe Hain?
Market experts ke mutabik, poora scenario yield curve normalization aur US economy ki strength se juda hua hai. Inflation bhale hi pichhle saal ke muqable thoda control mein ho, lekin labor market ki mazbooti ne Fed ko cautious bana diya hai.
Recent estimates ke hisaab se March 2026 mein rate cut ki probability 58% se girkar lagbhag 42% tak aa chuki hai. Technical charts par dekha jaye toh RSI abhi neutral zone mein hai, lekin short-term trend thoda bearish lag raha hai.
Sabse Bada Sawaal: Ye Dip Kharidne Layak Hai Ya Nahi?
Abhi investors ke liye sabse bada confusion ye hai ki kya central banks jaise Reserve Bank of India ya People’s Bank of China is price dip par gold buying karna shuru karenge ya nahi.
Sach ye hai ki bhale hi prices short-term mein pressure mein hon, lekin geopolitical tensions aur global uncertainty ke chalte gold ka safe-haven status abhi khatam nahi hua hai.
Aage Kya Dekhna Zaroori Hai?
Ab sabki nazar agle hafte aane wale US GDP data par hai. Ye data decide karega ki gold mein chal rahi ye girawat sirf ek temporary correction hai, ya phir ek lambi bearish cycle ki shuruaat.
